Tuesday, January 04, 2005

The CY Icon

The CY icon is a strange icon, as I discovered. Because I was able to create a formula for the V icon, I assumed I could for this-they have similar results. But what I didnn't realize was that this is an icon that can be used indefinitely on. There is no limit to how many times you can use it, unlike the V icon. So, there isn't a possible way to create a perfectly accurate formula for this. But, I will give you a formula, and tell you how to make it more accurate on your own. But it will never become perfect.

Anyway, to start, pick a batter to use as a standard against your pitcher. Then, find his on base average with the first formula of te blog. Subtract this from 1. Write this number down. Then, multiply this by 100. Multiply your current number by the one you wrote down. Then, multiply the number you have now by the number you wrote down. Multiply this by your pitcher's innings pitcher number. This number is how many extra innings he will pitch because of the CY Icon. But as I said, this isn't a completely accurate formula. Why? During the innings he pitches after the normal amount, he will have a chance of earning more innings. Then, during those, he'll have the chance again. This is a cycle that goes on infinitely. Your calculator may eventually read zero, but that's just because the numbers were too small for it. Anyway, maybe you do want to get it a little more accurate. Once you've done all the math so far, take the batter's on base average, subtract it from 1, multiply by 100, multiply this by the decimal form of this number, then do it again(what we did before). Multiply by the number of inings he pitches. Now, take the number you multiplied by the innings pitched and now multiply it by the extra innings pitched. Do the same thing to this number. The numbers keep on getting smaller, but never end. Once you're satisfied, add these numbers up, starting with the original number of extra innings he can pitch. Adding them all together gives you the total number of extra innings he can pitch. Add this to his normal innings pitched for his total number of pitching innings. Remember, this process will never be 100% accurate, so you have to decide where to stop. The farther you go on, the less it counts. Now, I'll demonstrate the formula but only do the first step of finding the amount of extra innings he pitches. You, of course, can do this step more than once. This is between a 5 control, 18-19 walk, 20 single pitcher with the CY Icon who pitches 7 innings against a batter 12 on base, 8-11 walk, 12-15 single, 16-18 double, 19+ home run.

(7((100(1-((65x.15+35x.65)/100)))x(1- ((65x.15+35x.65)/100))x
(1-((65x.15+35x.65)/100))))/100
2.152828125

So, at this point of the formula, I could've gone on by multiplying my answer by the entire repetitive part that starts with the first "(1-((65x.15+..." and ends at the very end. Then, I would add my current answer to the one I got here. Then, I might do it again. But that part wasn't demonstrated since it can potentially go on forever.

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1 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

the people i play with use this as you use thee 20 icon only you use it once a game am i wrong

6:04 PM  

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