Tuesday, January 04, 2005

Making Your Bullpen

Your Bullpen can be an essential part of catching up to a lead, maintaining one, or keeping the opposing team close when late in the game. You want your relievers and closers to be as good as possible to safely close out the game in the later innings.

First of all, any reliever who has the RP or CY icons is pretty much automatically a great pitcher. But these are tough to find.

When making your bullpen, check to see how long your starters last. Normally, they last 7 innings. If you have starters with mostly less than seven innings, you should have around 6-7 innings of relief in your bullpen. This is because games often go into extra innings when you need extra relievers. But if you have starters at least 7 innings and maybe some have the CY icon, you may only need 4-5 innings of relief. Sometimes, though, the most important decision in making your bullpen is deciding on your last reliever. These are the guys on the end of the line, who have to enter 13 inning(about) situations. You need this person to be as good as possible.

But another important decision is deciding on the order of your bullpen. When in a normal game, you have to decide who is better out of 2 relievers, and if you don't choose the right one, it may cost you. So, you can use the previously stated formulas to decide which pitcher is better out of two. If your pitcher has the RP icon, you usually use them for that one inning. If you have one of these and want to find out how good he is, use one of the previous formulas, but after you find out the pitcher's percent chance of advantage, add 15 to it. Then, subtract 15 from the batter's percent chance of advantage. If a reliever 5 control, 18-19 walk, 20 single with the RP icon faced a batter 12 on base, 8-11 walk, 12-15 single, 16-18 a double, 19+ a home run, this would be the formula to find the batter's on base average against that pitcher.

(80x.15+20x.65)/100
.250

Soon, I'm going to start working on a formula to figure out how many innings a pitcher will pitch with the CY icon on his exact average start. I haven't started yet, I'm doing a related S icon formula.

FEEL FREE TO MAKE COMMENTS ABOUT MY POSTS

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home